Raftery and Ševčíková to Teach One-Day Short Course on Subnational Bayesian Population Projections at PAA 2025

Posted: 1/31/2025 ()

Population projections have traditionally been done deterministically using the cohort component method, yielding a single value for each projected future population quantity of interest. At PAA 2025, CSDE Affiliate Adrian Raftery and Research Scientist Hana Ševčíková will teach a workshop on the theory and practice behind Bayesian subnational population projections, in which the total fertility rate, female and male life expectancy at birth, and net migration rates are projected using Bayesian hierarchical models estimated via Markov Chain Monte Carlo.

The instructors are members of the research group that developed the methods to be taught in the course. Learn more about this opportunity here.